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k1w1nOz’s NRL R14 Raiders v Sharks DFS Preview

Posted {{post.formattedDate}} by k1w1nOz

A battle between a couple of the comp's heavyweights kicks off round 14 when the 8-5 Raiders host the 7-5 Sharks with both teams playing for a top 4 spot on the ladder.  Single digit temps are expected to greet the Sharks - the dreaded Canberra in Canberra game.

With 6 teams aiming to move into the top 8 heading into the Origin bye, and all but 1 game this round could go either way. It should be a ripper round so let's get amongst it. 

With the return of Thurs AFL Draftstars (DS) have dropped tonight's NRL GPP to $5k ($679 1st, 97 ITM) with Moneyball (MB) also posting a $5k GPP ($650 1st, 86 ITM).

Kick start your DFS research and claim your share of the prize money on offer by checking out all of the key info for tonight's game.

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RAIDERS v SHARKS

GIO Stadium - Thursday 7.50pm 

Both the $1.80 Raiders and $2.00 Sharks are playing for their 3rd win on the trot and a spot in the top 4. 

From 10,000 match simulations, Stats Insider projects a Raiders win by 2 points and 38 point match total  

With both teams expected to score about 3 tries each a balanced lineup seems optimal.

If you’re having a punt this round check out Stats Insider’s VALUE SUMMARY page. Stats Insider is now completely FREE!

INS/OUTS

The Raiders have named an unchanged 17, however Josh Papali'i & Dunamis Lui will start in the front row with Ryan Sutton & Sia Soliola playing off the bench.

Josh Morris returns to the Sharks centre forcing Josh Dugan to the wing and Aaron Gray out of the side. Blayke Brailey replaces injured brother Jayden at HK and makes an ideal value play. Wade Graham may move into the starting side, while Shaun Johnson is expected to make his return from injury at the expense of Kyle Flanagan.  Be sure to check final team lists.  

MATCH-UPS

Let’s take a look at where tries have been scored & conceded by these teams so far this season.

CRUNCHER LINEUP #1

Below are Fantasy Insider Lineup Cruncher #1 lineups for DS & MB – using Premium subscriber projections with standard cruncher settings – which tends to produce solid cash game lineups, and highlight good core players for GPP’s.

Draftstars
Moneyball

John Bateman & Andrew Fifita are both projected to score over 60 fpts on DS tonight. Blayke Brailey, Jack Wighton, Briton Nikora & Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad have the highest FI projections in their respective positions.

The cruncher loves the value Josh Papalii & Brailey offer on DS - featuring in 100% of the top 10 optimal lineups, along with 90% exposure to Bateman.

FI projections have Bateman, Siliva Havili, Chad Townsend & Jarrod Croker the highest fpt scorers in each of their respective positions on MB.

The looser MB salaries allow the Cruncher to have 100% exposure to Fifita & Bateman, with 90% exposure to Brailey in the top 10 optimal lineups.

Good luck with your lineups and remember to always check final team lists posted 60 mins before kickoff - or follow me @k1w1nOz

If you’re new to NRL DFS have a quick read of my NRL DFS Strategy Basics article, and also check out my NRL DFS Strategy: Draftstars vs Moneyball post if you play on both sites.

Looking for a way to develop your DFS skills? Go inside the Lineup Cruncher with one of the country's most respected daily fantasy players.

The Lineup Cruncher is FREE to use with projection data based on last 5 games played  - or become a Premium member for full access to all of Fantasy Insider's custom projections.