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k1w1nOz’s Wednesday BBL Preview: Renegades v Sixers

Posted {{post.formattedDate}} by k1w1nOz

The Renegades will be looking to add another notch to their BBL07 belt tonight when they host a Sixers side desperate to score their first win of the tournament.

Draftstars have posted another $15k GPP, with $6k on offer at Moneyball.  Prize pools for last nights game grew to $16.8k & $7k respectively.

Interestingly, it was a 100% Heat stack that won Draftstars GPP last night - something you don't see often.  Also interestingly, last night's game was the 6th of the last 7 games to be won by the underdog.

The Venue

Tonight's game will be the first BBL game played at Kardinia Park, the home of the Geelong Cats, providing some unique playing characteristics worthy of our consideration.

The offset pitch position on the traditional AFL ground creates short scoring pockets fine and square of the wicket, with extra long straight boundaries.  Intuitively, fast bowling should be the order of the day - pitch it up and challenge the batsmen to hit straight - whereas the spinners might find themselves frequently dispatched to the short square boundaries.

Tonight's venue should provide plenty of runs AND plenty of wickets.  When Australia played Sri Lanka here in a T20 international a year ago there were 349 runs scored and 18 wickets taken.

The Teams

The Renegades have made a solid 2-1 start to BBL07 after crumbling against the Scorchers bowling attack last Friday night.  Both of the Renegades wins have come chasing a score, so I wouldn't be surprised to see them send the Sixers in to bat if Aaron Finch wins the toss.

The 0-4 Sixers were much improved in their game against the Hurricanes on New Years Day, and were in with a real chance of wining their first game of the tournament until their ill-fated decision to give the final over ball to Sean Abbott.  Abbott has now bowled 64 20th over balls for 143 runs at 13.4 ER.  Surely the Sixers won't make that mistake again.....surely.

Despite having beaten the Renegades in their last 4 encounters, the Sixers are massive underdogs against the deep batting Renegades, who are $1.50 favourites to win this game.

The weather is forecast to be cloudy but fine, with a reasonable breeze blowing the length of the pitch - possibly creating swing for the fast bowlers.

Likely Batting Orders

The Renegades have named an unchanged squad, but we may see Chris Tremain make his BBL07 debut, replacing Kane Richardson, who has largely been ineffective this tournament.

The Sixers will likely replace the injured Steve O'Keefe with BBL rookie spinner Soumil Chhibber over rookie quick Mickey Edwards.  Daniel Hughes remains a game time decision after tweaking his quad.  If Hughes can play, the Sixers may opt to take an extra batsmen into this game, rather than drop Nevill from their XI (after his last game 33).

1Marcus Harris1Jason Roy
2Aaron Finch2Peter Nevill (wk)
3Cameron White3Nic Maddinson
4Tom Cooper4Jordan Silk
5Brad Hodge5Sam Billings
6Dwayne Bravo6Ben Dwarshuis
7Jack Wildermuth7Johan Botha
8Mohammad Nabi8Sean Abbott
9Tim Ludeman (wk)9Daniel Sams
11Brad Hogg11Will Somerville

Six Good Nuts

Bowler – Brad Hogg

Man-child Hogg has again proved his critics wrong, collecting 5 wickets  at an impressive 6.8 ER in his in 3 ageless games this tournament.  Hoggy is a very clever bowler and will know where best to drop the ball to limit scoring on this unique shaped ground.  If you're looking for a reliable & consistent bowling option, Hogg is your man.

Batsman – Jordan Silk

OK, I can admit I was wrong about Silk.  His solid first up hit was no fluke after all.  Silk seems to have had an attitude adjustment and looks to be in great touch, now averaging 47 this tournament - considerably better than his 11 & 15 averages the last couple of BBL seasons.  Silk is a lock on Moneyball at only $3k, while he has a serviceable salary on Draftstars with so many similarly priced batsmen there.

Keeper – Peter Nevill

In his last innings 33, Nevill benefited from a new controlled approach to his batting - and forced me to rethink him as a DFS play.  I'll have high exposure to Nevill and hope he again enters this game aiming to anchor the Sixers top order.

If the Sixers opt for Daniel Hughes over Nevill, Sam Billings becomes my preferred WK play.  Tim Ludeman remains unplayable while batting so low for the Renegades behind such a quality top order.

All-Rounder – Ben Dwarshuis

Fast bowling actually claimed most of the wickets in the T20 international previously played here.  Ben Dwarshuis was impressive in his first 2 BBL07 games, grabbing 3 wickets and scoring 36 runs.  He's now become the Sixers best attacking bowler by default, and will need a game winning performance if the Sixers are to get up here.  The fact that Dwarshuis is also highly likely to bat, and can bat well, adds to his DFS appeal.

Of course Dwayne Bravo and his 8 wickets this tournament carry plenty of appeal.  This looks an ideal game to play an AR Flex, if you can squeeze Bravo under your salary cap.

POD Pick – Aaron Finch

With 3 dud scores to his name this tournament, I'm expecting Finch to have reasonably low ownership in what shapes as a redemption game for him tonight.  He captained the Aussie T20 side that played at this ground a year ago, so will be well aware of the grounds special characteristics and sweet scoring spots - plus he is sooo due a big score, and after all, cream always rises to the top (eventually).

Avoid – Will Somerville

Two games into this tournament, Sommerville remains wicketless.  He's returned an ok 7.8 ER - but I fear he may be cannon fodder to the short square boundaries in this game.  I won't be tempted, even at his bargain price.

If you’re new to BBL DFS, check out my BBL DFS Strategy Basics article.

You can build lineups for free using the basic version of the Fantasy Insider lineup cruncher here.  Premium subscribers have access to player projections and powerful advanced settings like player exposure levels.

Check out dpwoodford’s How to build BBL lineups video to learn more about the Lineup Cruncher advanced settings.

Good luck with your lineups tonight. Remember to always check final teams – and that it’s all just a bit of fun!