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k1w1nOz’s Tuesday BBL Preview: Sixers v Stars

Posted {{post.formattedDate}} by k1w1nOz

The Sixers will be looking to finish BBL|07 on a high tonight when they host a Stars side that has had their worst season ever, hoping to avoid the kind of embarrassment the Sixers dealt to the Heat a few days ago.

A $10k GPP on Draftstars and $5k GPP on Moneyball seem to be the standard now, although last nights Draftstars GPP reached a $11,200 prize pool.

The Venue

In the 4 BBL|07 games played at the SCG, both the team batting first and second have averaged 176 runs - which is due to the team batting second successfully chasing down the first innings target in 3 of those 4 games.

Of the 44 wickets taken at the SCG in BBL|07, 31 (70%) were by fast bowlers, 12 (27%) were off spin/slow bowling, with just 1 run out.

Partly cloudy weather with a slight chance of rain is forecast for the AEDST 7:40pm game time.

The Teams

Neither the 3-6 Sixers or 1-7 Stars can make the finals after terrible starts to BBL|07.  Despite languishing in second last on the ladder, the resurgent Sixers actually have the second best net run rate of the tournament, and have won 3 games on the trot, including an 8 wicket/5 over victory over the Stars a week ago.

Understandably the bookies have the Sixers as $1.55 favourites to win tonight.  A Sixers stack, or at least heavily favoured Sixers lineup makes sense tonight, but if the Stars bat first, beware of playing middle order Sixers batsmen.

The Sixers have named an unchanged squad, while the Stars have brought in Michael Beer and Rob Quiney at the expense of Ben Hilfenhaus and Daniel Fallins.

Likely Batting Orders

I'm expecting Rob Quiney to bat at #5 replacing either Seb Gotch or more likely Evan Gulbis in the Stars XI, with Michael Beer coming in for Liam Bowe.

1Joe Denly1Peter Handscomb (wk)
2Daniel Hughes2Ben Dunk
3Nic Maddinson3Kevin Pietersen
4Moises Henriques4Glenn Maxwell
5Jordan Silk5Gotch/Quiney*
6Carlos Brathwaite6James Faulkner
7Johan Botha7John Hastings
8Peter Nevill (wk)8Gulbis/Quiney*
9Sean Abbott9Jackson Coleman
10Ben Dwarshuis10Michael Beer
11Nathan Lyon11Daniel Worrall

Players to Consider

Bowler – Nathan Lyon

Lyon has the best economy rate in BBL|07 at 4.92ER to go with his 6 wickets in 3 games - yet he can't make the national ODI side.  Go figure.

The question tonight is "did the Stars learn their lesson last game, or will Lyon crush them again tonight?" Even if Lyon doesn't repeat his 3 wicket haul, we can bank on his economy rate giving us a reasonable return on investment.  Despite his high salary on Draftstars, I'm expecting Lyon to be highly owned tonight.

Batsman – Kevin Pietersen

This will be Pietersen's penultimate game for the Stars. With one of the biggest ego's in world cricket, you just know Pietersen will be looking to go out with a bang. As long as he makes good shot selections (e.g. doesn't try to smash Lyon every ball) I can see Pieterson top scoring for the Stars tonight.

Keeper – Peter Handscomb

With Peter Nevill batting so far down the Sixers order we can take him out of consideration, leaving us with a tough choice between Ben Dunk and Peter Handscomb, who have exhibited similar ceiling fpt scores in BBL|07.  Handscomb has the better batting average and the advantage of soft fpts behind the stumps, so gets the nod from me.

All-Rounder – Carlos Braithwaite

Braithwaite has made an immediate impact since joining the Sixers, with 4 wickets in 3 games at 7.22ER - and importantly with 26 dot balls in his 44 deliveries.

I've got a feeling that after watching his West Indies mates dominate last night's game, Braithwaite will be ready to put on a show of his own tonight.

POD Pick – Jordan Silk

Three consecutive DNB's should keep Silk's ownership around the 16% he was last game, although his $10k salary may attract some extra attention.  With innings of 50, 45, 45 in the bank in BBL|07, Silk is a viable play if you can (somehow) see the Stars bowlers getting through the Sixers top order quickly.

Definitely keep an eye on final listed batting orders.  If Silk is moved up the order it would increase his appeal immensely.

Avoid – Moses Henriques

Plenty of coaches will be turned off Henriques dud scores in his last 2 outings, but some may be tempted by his big fpt score against the Thunder.  It's worth noting that big score came on the back of 2 wickets in 3 overs of bowling, something he is unlikely to be required to do with this Sixers bowling attack.  With a pathetic 6 run average in his 5 BBL|07 games, Henriques is a fade for me.

If you’re new to BBL DFS, check out my BBL DFS Strategy Basics article.

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Check out dpwoodford’s How to build BBL lineups video to learn more about the Lineup Cruncher advanced settings.

Good luck with your lineups tonight. Remember to always check final teams – and that it’s all just a bit of fun!