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k1w1nOz’s Thursday BBL Preview: Sixers v Heat

Posted Thu 18 January by k1w1nOz

Only a couple of games away from the BBL|07 finals, the Heat are officially in must-win mode when they travel to take on the Sixers at the SCG tonight.

We’ve got another $12,500 feature GPP on Draftstars for tonight’s game and a $5k GPP on Moneyball (which reached $5,560 last night).

The Venue

All 3 BBL|07 games at the SCG this tournament have had close finishes.  The team batting first has averaged 152 runs, the team batting second has averaged 151 runs.

There were 32 wickets taken in those 3 games, of which 23 (72%) were off fast bowling, and interestingly only 8 from spinners – with just the 1 run out.

Another fine evening is forecast for tonight’s 7:40pm AEST game.  How lucky have we been with the weather this season?

The Teams

The Heat are 4-4 in BBL07 and are delicately poised on the edge of finals contention, while the 2-6 Sixers are in party spoiling mode with no real hope of making the finals this year.

Prior to their tournament to forget, the Sixers held a 6-1 historical advantage over the Heat.  The bookies have the Sixers as $1.85 favourites to win tonight on the back of their recent form.

The Sixers have named an unchanged squad, while the Heat have brought in AR Jason Floros at the expense of Cameron Gannon.  With 3 wickets and a high score of 42 in 24 T20’s, don’t get too excited if Floros makes the Heat final XI – instead it’s more likely that quick Josh Lalor will play tonight, rather than Floros.

The Heat suffered a major setback late yesterday with Joe Burns aggravating a groin injury during training.  Marnus Labuschagne is expected to replace Burns if he is ruled unfit to play tonight.

In good news for the Heat, Chris Lynn is on track to return to the Heat for their clash with the Renegades at the Gabba on Saturday week.

Likely Batting Orders

Sixers Heat
1 Joe Denly 1 Sam Heazlett
2 Daniel Hughes 2 Brendon McCullum
3 Nic Maddinson 3 Marnus Labuschagne
4 Moises Henriques 4 Alex Ross
5 Jordan Silk 5 Ben Cutting
6 Carlos Brathwaite 6 Jimmy Peirson (wk)
7 Johan Botha 7 Lalor/Floros
8 Peter Nevill (wk) 8 Mark Steketee
9 Sean Abbott 9 Brendan Doggett
10 Ben Dwarshuis 10 Mitchell Swepson
11 Nathan Lyon 11 Yasir Shah

Players to Consider

Bowler – Sean Abbott

After picking up only 3 wickets in his first 5 games of the tournament, Abbott has gone on to grab 6 in his last 3 games.  He’s also improved his economy rate in that time from near 11 ER to a respectable 7.94 ER.  Has Abbott finally regained his once dominating form?  It certainly looks like it.

Batsman – Brendon McCullum

If you’re looking for the guy most likely to deliver a Short/Carey/KP type innings, it’s McCullum – especially now that Joe Burns is out, and the Heat’s success in this game rests firmly on McCullum’s shoulders.  The SCG wicket should suit him to a tee, and while McCullum isn’t cheap, his salary is manageable on Draftstars & Moneyball thanks to the value plays on offer in this game.

Keeper – Jimmy Peirson

Peter Nevill is batting so far down the Sixers order that he hasn’t seen the batting crease for 3 games straight – making the decision to lock in Peirson an easy one.  He’s only $1k more than Nevill on Draftstars, and as a bonus is $2.2k cheaper on Moneyball.

All-Rounder – Moises Henriques

Again, if we’re targeting guys that can deliver a big game, Henriques stands out as the AR option most likely to pickup batting & bowling fpts.  Ben Cutting is a close second, but lacks the batting class of Henriques, though is a tempting Flex play.

POD Pick – Joe Denly

I suspect a lot of coaches will steer away from Denly after his ordinary score last game, and with Maddinson the better looking option available for around the same cost as Denly on Draftstars, I’m expecting his ownership will be a lot lower than the 40% who rostered him last game.

Caution – Nathan Lyon

I wouldn’t dare suggest fading Lyon entirely, but at this ground he is no lock for me – especially for $18k on Draftstars.  The SCG is not spin friendly (see Venue stats above).  In fact, during the recent Ashes Test match there, Lyon only took 3 wickets in his 72 overs of bowling in the 2 innings.

Lyon’s last game performance would’ve left his Sixers teammates lamenting what could have been if they’d had him for the whole tournament – but in this game I wouldn’t be surprised to see Lyon claim maybe 1 wicket, or even go wicketless.


If you’re new to BBL DFS, check out my BBL DFS Strategy Basics article.

You can build lineups for free using the basic version of the Fantasy Insider lineup cruncher here.  Premium subscribers have access to player projections and powerful advanced settings like player exposure levels.

Check out dpwoodford’s How to build BBL lineups video to learn more about the Lineup Cruncher advanced settings.

Good luck with your lineups tonight. Remember to always check final teams – and that it’s all just a bit of fun!

k1w1nOz

@k1w1nOz has been playing DFS since its beginning in Australia, and was lucky enough to jag 1st in a $10k NRL tourney in his 2nd week of playing - which financed his DFS learning curve to become the +ROI GPP player he is today. DFR ranked #2 '17, #12 '18 NRL DFS player k1w1nOz contributes DFS strategy and game preview articles to Fantasy Insider to help you build winning lineups - and to help grow DFS in Australia.

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