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k1w1nOz’s Monday BBL Preview: Renegades v Strikers

Posted {{post.formattedDate}} by k1w1nOz

We're spoilt for choice with many big name players returning/joining tonight's BBL|07 teams - but confirming final XI's and listed batting orders will be critical to lineup selection tonight.

As usual the salaries on Moneyball pretty much allow for any lineup combo, however it's a different story on Draftstars where the stud salaries can make it challenging to stay under the cap - depending on your WK & AR plays.

Plenty of strategy options, some quality value plays, but limited cheapies should make this a fun and challenging DFS game. Surprisingly Draftstars have dropped tonight's GPP to $10k, though I'm expecting it to reach the usual ~$12k prize pool.  Moneyball again have a $5k GPP on offer.

Let's take a look at what to consider for your lineups.

The Venue

In the 3 BBL|07 games played at Etihad this season, the team batting first has averaged 143 runs, while the team batting second has scored 138 runs on average.

There were 39 wickets taken in those 3 games, of which 26 (66%) were off fast bowling, 11 wickets (28%) from spinners, with 2 run outs.

The Teams

With 2 games still in hand after tonight's encounter, the 4th place (4-3) Renegades can secure a finals berth with a win tonight.

The 6-2 Strikers  are sitting at #2 on the BBL|07 ladder, and are playing their second last regular season game tonight.  A win here guarantees them a home semi-final and will make their Thursday game vs the Scorchers a battle to finish on top of the BBL|07 ladder.

These teams have a 3-all historical head to head record, though the bookies have the Strikers as $1.75 favourites to win tonight.

Player Squads

Cameron White and Brad Hodge return for the Renegades, who also welcome West Indies all-rounder Kieron Pollard to their side, replacing Mohammad Nabi.  Mackenzie Harvey & Chris Tremain have also been named in the Renegades 13 man squad - 17 year old Harvey to become the youngest BBL player to date if he debuts tonight.

With Nabi leaving to represent Afghanistan, the Renegades come into this game with Brad Hogg as their only front line spinner, so expect Tom Cooper and (maybe) Brad Hodge and/or Cameron White to be called on for a couple of overs.

The Strikers welcome back Travis Head and Alex Carey, and have recalled leg-spinner Liam O'Connor to their squad at the expense of Wes Agar.

Likely Batting Orders

With the Renegades batting lineup back to near full strength, I'm expecting Ludeman to drop back down the order, and I wouldn't be surprised to see Jono Dean given the chance to get some time at the batting crease tonight in favour of Jake Lehmann.

RenegadesStrikers
1Marcus Harris1Alex Carey (wk)
2Matthew Short2Jake Weatherald
3Cameron White3Travis Head
4Tom Cooper4Colin Ingram
5Kieron Pollard5Jonathan Wells
6Brad Hodge6Lehmann/Dean
7Dwayne Bravo7Michael Neser
8Tim Ludeman (wk)8Rashid Khan
9Jack Wildermuth9Peter Siddle
10Kane Richardson10Ben Laughlin
11Brad Hogg11Billy Stanlake


Keepers

I'll break with tradition and discuss WK options first becasue of the huge difference in salary between Alex Carey ($19,300) and Tim Ludeman ($9,700) on Draftstars.  Your WK play here will greatly influence options in the other positions.

Carey is actually (and probably rightly) the most expensive player on Draftstars tonight - playing him is like giving up a whole other $10k player, but I can't see how he can be faded if Ludeman drops back down the Renegades order, especially given the sensational form Carey is in.

If Ludeman does remain at the top of the Renegades order he obviously becomes a lot more playable - but the $10k saved on him still has to be used to generate the difference in fpts Carey will likely score over Ludeman.

On Moneyball, where both WK options are basically the same cost, Carey is a lock and should be massively owned.

All-Rounders

The AR position is stud filled and the next most important selection tonight.  My first AR consideration is actually the BWL options, with the ordinary Kane Richardson and Brad Hogg likely to be the only Renegades options in that position.  If you want exposure to quality Renegades bowling options, Dwayne Bravo and Jack Wildermuth have to be seriously considered with Wildermuth's recent form looking very tempting.  Kieron Pollard's salary looks attractive, but note that in the Bangladesh Premier League he's just played, Pollard only hit just over 30 runs in 4 of 10 games and took just 2 wickets.

While this could be a batsman's wicket, Travis Head is coming off a couple of shockers for the national ODI team Playing Head means ignoring that form and buying into the redemption narrative, which is tough for me at his current price.  I don't mind Michael Neser and his 11 wickets in 7 games, as a quality Flex play.

Bowlers

I'll be choosing my BWL's based on my AR selection/s, as well as available salary.  Both sides tonight feature very strong upper order batsmen, so in this game where not many wickets may be taken I'll be favouring bowlers with the best economy rates - Rashid Khan (12 wickets, 5.47ER), Peter Siddle (7 wickets, 5.81ER) and Brad Hogg (7 wickets, 6.88ER prior to last game).  Hogg also presents as a solid value play on Draftstars while Chris Tremain and Liam O'Connor are tempting salary savers if either of them play tonight.

Batsmen

Man oh man, there are some good BAT options in this game - and some handy value on offer too.

Cameron White’s sensational form for the Renegades basically makes him a must play - if you can afford him.  Tom Cooper has plenty of appeal, especially given he'll likely bowl an over or two.  Colin Ingram has a manageable salary and is a much more reliable option than Marcus Harris or Jake Weatherald for around the same salary, while Matthew Short is probably my favourite value play in this game - a must if you've gone for Carey/Bravo or Carey/Head.

POD Pick

Maybe it's because he's my least favourite of the AR plays, but I'd be surprised if Travis Head has particularly high ownership tonight, mostly because of his salary - but it's Brad Hodge who should be the greatest POD if he continues to bat down the order.  A Hodge lineup would feature Strikers opening bowlers and the hope they rip through the Renegades top order for Hodge to sweep in and save the day.

Avoid

A word of caution about playing middle order batsmen in this game has to be made.  The Renegades have only been bowled out twice this tournament, the Strikers just the once.  The batsmen below #5 in both teams have only seen the crease in half of their BBL|07 games, so I'll only be focusing on the top 4, maybe 5 batsmen in each team and not expect to see a ton of wickets tonight.


If you’re new to BBL DFS, check out my BBL DFS Strategy Basics article.

You can build lineups for free using the basic version of the Fantasy Insider lineup cruncher here.  Premium subscribers have access to player projections and powerful advanced settings like player exposure levels.

Check out dpwoodford’s How to build BBL lineups video to learn more about the Lineup Cruncher advanced settings.

Good luck with your lineups tonight. Remember to always check final teams – and that it’s all just a bit of fun!