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k1w1nOz’s BBL Semi #2 Preview: Strikers v Renegades

Posted {{post.formattedDate}} by k1w1nOz

Key player ins & outs and an abundance of player talent complicates DFS selection in tonight's mega Big Bash semi-final.

The winner of tonight's game will score their maiden BBL final appearance, and play the Hurricanes on Sunday for all of the Big Bash marbles.  Let's check out the info to consider when building your lineups for tonight's blockbuster.

The Venue

The team batting first won 3 of the 4 games at Adelaide Oval in BBL|07, averaging 162 runs compared to an average of only 132 runs by the team batting second.

Of the 44 wickets taken in those 4 games, 29 (66%) were off fast bowling, 11 by spin/slow bowlers, with 4 run outs.  This pitch has been kinder than most grounds to spinners.

The Teams

The 7-3 Strikers finished 2nd on the ladder with 5 wins from their last 6 games, while the come from behind 6-4 Renegades won 4 of their last 5 games to finish 3rd on the BBL|07 ladder.

The Strikers hold a 4-3 historical advantage over the Renegades and defeated the 'Gades by 26 runs at Etihad just 8 days ago.  The bookies initially had the Renegades as $1.75 favourites to win tonight, but odds have tightened to near even money since the news of Travis Head's return for the Strikers broke last night.

The Squads

The Strikers have lost Alex Carey & Billy Stanlake to the Australian T20 team, while captain Travis Head has been cleared to play tonight and will rejoin the Australian squad Saturday.

Rookie wicketkeeper-batsman Harry Nielsen will make his BBL debut with the gloves, and Peter Siddle will rejoin the playing XI to cover for Stanlake, while my guess is that Head will open in favour of Jono Dean.

The Renegades will be without Kane Richardson due to the National T20 selection, and Brad Hodge has been ruled out, but they welcome back captain Cameron White, and have added quick Joe Mennie to their 13 man squad.

White comes straight back into the top order, leaving the Renegades to choose between a stacked batting lineup or playing Mennie (17 wickets in 17 games of BBL at 8.26ER), which would force Beau Webster from their final XI.

Possible Batting Orders

1Travis Head1Marcus Harris
2Jake Weatherald2Matthew Short
3Colin Ingram3Cameron White
4Jonathan Wells4Tom Cooper
5Harry Nielson (wk)5Kieron Pollard
6Jake Lehmann6Dwayne Bravo
7Michael Neser7Jack Wildermuth
8Rashid Khan8Tim Ludeman (wk)
9Peter Siddle9Chris Tremain
10Wes Agar10Joe Mennie
11Ben Laughlin11Jon Holland

Players to Consider

Bowler – Rashid Khan

The one player who is an absolute lock for me in this game is Khan.  He's the equal top wicket taker with Bravo (17 wickets) and has the best economy rate (5.52) in BBL|07.  This will be Khan's last game for the Strikers before returning home, so will be aiming to leave on a high.  An absolute must play.

Batsman – Colin Ingram

I've become a big fan of Ingram's this tournament, and the important role he plays anchoring the Strikers innings.  He's delivered 2 x 100+fpt scores in BBL|07 and reached value in half of his games, which isn't bad for a batsman. Plus, you simply can't ignore his 68 runs off 36 balls the last time these teams met.  Expect another solid innings at a manageable price.

Keeper – Harry Nielson

Assuming Tim Ludeman again bats way down the Renegades order, I'll be punting on Nielson.  He has a handy batting average of 49 in the 6 List games he's played, and we may see him bat above Lehmann to get some time at the crease.  Besides, surely he can't be worse than Ludeman?

All-Rounder – Dwayne Bravo

If you're prepared to play one of the cheapie bowlers, Bravo and his insanely high salary are affordable.  With 3 x 100fpt scores this season, Bravo is tied with Khan for the most wickets in BBL|07 - largely due to his death bowling junk wickets. If Bravo is called on to bat overs in this game, we could be looking at a Dan Christian type fpt score tonight.  At least, that's what I'll be hoping for.

POD Pick – Michael Neser

Most of the AR attention tonight will go to Bravo, Head & Pollard - possibly leaving Neser with lowish ownership even though he's been a quiet achiever with 12 wickets in 9 games, including 2 x 100fpt performances.  His salary is very tempting, allowing for tier 1 BAT & BWL plays, but unlike the other AR options we can't expect any fpts off Neser's bat.

Caution – Cameron White

White is certainly a quality batsman, but I'm a little concerned where his head is at right now.  His early BBL|07 form was enough to earn a call-up to the National ODI side, where he completely failed.  After innings of 15, 17 & 3 he was dropped for the 4th ODI, returned to the Renegades and posted a nervous 17 off 23 balls.  We may see White come out to bat with a conservative, don't get out mentality - which may be his BBL undoing.

If you’re just now joining the BBL DFS party, check out my BBL DFS Strategy Basicsarticle.

You can build lineups for free using the basic version of the Fantasy Insider lineup cruncher here.  Premium subscribers have access to player projections and powerful advanced settings like player exposure levels.

Check out dpwoodford’s How to build BBL lineups video to learn more about the Lineup Cruncher advanced settings.

Good luck with your lineups tonight. Remember to always check final teams – and that it’s all just a bit of fun!