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Deep Point’s Saturday BBL Preview: Heat vs Renegades

Posted {{post.formattedDate}} by Darryl Woodford

Chris Lynn returns for the Heat to give coaches a whole new batch of selection headaches ahead of this (possibly) do-or-die clash with the Renegades.

I say possibly because if the Hurricanes win then the Heat are out but either way coaches can expect the Heat to finish the season swinging.

Matt Renshaw is named for the home side and should debut whilst Brad Hogg and Jon Holland are locked in a battle for the final bowling spot for the visitors.

Likely XI’s

Heat: McCullum, Lynn, Renshaw, Heazelett, Ross, Cutting, Pierson, Steketee, Shah, Lalor, Swepson, (Doggett, Gannon)

Renegades:  Harris, Short, Cooper, Bravo, Pollard, Webster, Ludeman, Wildermuth, Tremain, Richardson, Hogg, (Holland, Harvey)

Have Renshaw down at first drop given the pre-game hype about his ball striking. Renshaw’s inclusion also allows the Heat to play just the four recognised bowlers with Cutting and Renshshaw (offbreaks) to share the final four overs.

That Heat line-up with Pierson coming in at #7 tells me they are going to be hard to contain especially at the Gabba so don’t expect much economy from the Gades bowlers here.

As always expect Cutting to slide up inside last 8 overs.

For the visitors I just can’t see how they leave out a guy who can turn it both ways for a guy who can’t, especially with that Heat hitting power.

If there is an early wicket I expect Ludeman to come in at #3 but could slide right down to #7 if the innings gets off to a good start.

Value

Two batting value plays in this game for mine are Tom Cooper and Matt Renshaw. Both will bat at #3 or #4 and don’t be surprised to see both get 1-2 overs each with the ball. Renshaw a bargain at 9k whilst Cooper missed out last start and still managed 49pts.  Hogg/Holland and the two Heat spinners are all good value, I am steering well clear of seamers tonight!

Must-Have

Chris Lynn. That is all.

Avoiding

Alex Ross is unlikely to see much time at the middle if Renshaw plays and/or if the Heat get off to a start whilst the Renegades seamers can (and likely will) all be picked up on length and dispatched. Brave play taking a seamer tonight from any side but doubly so for any who have to take the new ball to McCullum and Lynn.

POD-Power

With great bowling affordability the key batsman will all be popular so the likes of Heazlett and Short who will both bat top #4 loom likely to be under 20% ownership. Beau Webster’s 67pts is unlikely to be repeated and should safely be single figure ownership tonight. Very brave play!

Final Say

Both sides enjoy chasing and I can see plenty of runs here from two sides who have stacked their batting – 400 runs is not out of the question so think 30-40pts from your bowlers and load up on the hitters.