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Deep Point’s BBL Tuesday Preview: Stars vs Heat

Posted Tue 02 January by Extra Cover

Just when we thought it was safe to stack the bowlers!

Over 700 runs were scored yesterday on decks that traditionally do not favour huge totals (albeit for different reasons). Such prolific batting forces coaches to once again recalibrate their team selection strategy.

It’s very difficult for new players to get into a game with the tight salary cap we have had lately on DraftStars. It’s no different tonight – taking Lynn means you must take one cheapy, taking Lynn AND Stoinis makes it tough but both players can win you the game by themselves.

Fortunately there IS value out there tonight to balance the big price tags, but coaches going into tonight’s game must decide whether runs will be scored and bowlers be damned, or whether to approach it with a balanced line-up.

At the risk of looking silly (again) I’ll make my prediction – plenty of runs tonight so stack that batting!

Likely XI’s

StarsWright, Dunk, Peiterson, Maxwell, Stoinis, Quiney, Faulkner, Hastings, Zampa, Boland, Beer, (Gulbis, Bowe)

Heat:   McCullum, Pierson, Heazlett, Lynn, Burns, Ross, Cutting, Shah, Steketee, Lalor, Swepsom, (Doggett, Gannon) 

Expect that both sides will stack their batting tonight. The Stars can afford to carry Quiney at #6 given Stoinis and Maxwell are legitimate T20 bowlers whilst the Heat look thin on batting with Cutting at #6 then daylight at #7.

Gannon may be very unlucky here, if I’m coaching the Heat I am dropping Lalor or Steketee on general principle for not being able to catch, but this is Queensland and they cant even merge onto a freeway let alone maintain common sense at selection.

Gannon’s height could be a real factor tonight whilst someone like Lalor may really struggle – his medium pace rubbish may as well be Cutting’s medium pace rubbish and with the emergence of bowling sensation J Burns, Cutting may only need to get through 2 overs.

Sam Heazlett should come in at #3 especially if (when) Pierson goes cheaply but buyer beware the youngster will float down possibly even behind Cutting if the openers establish a solid platform.

Six Good Nuts

Bowler – Michael Beer

Will be hard for coaches to spend much cap on bowlers tonight but Beer is well worth a look. Averaging 68pts which will be absolute gold tonight as there is likely to be a large gap between the top 2-3 bowlers and the rest who get smacked to all corners. Pierson loves to throw his wicket away and McCullum can be a slow starter against bowlers like Beer. If you are fading McCullum it makes sense to take Beer. Shah the standout class whilst Gannon (if he plays) represents great value after his first up 65 which should have been an 90+.

Batsman  – Kevin Peiterson

Excellent value and will get great exposure coming in at #3 for the Stars. Failed in game 1 so will really want this one. Due to Wright’s price and Dunk’s appeal at WK, KP could be missed by more teams than usual due to overexposure especially if the Stars bat first. Price and class is a tick, possible POD – don’t overthink it.

All-Rounder – Glen Maxwell

Stoinis is the class in this field but batting #5 against the Heat attack you can flip a coin if he even gets a bat. All three of the batting all-rounder options tonight could get good bowling exposure if both sides stack batting. I’m taking Maxwell because he owes me, because if he is on he will take me all the way to the cash and at that price I just can’t say no. Faulkner’s price is tricky if you take Lynn given Quiney could drop him to #7 whilst Cutting is, well, Cutting. Key position tonight.

Wicket Keeper – Ben Dunk

If you aren’t taking Lynn or McCullum then common sense dictates Pierson gets a look in, but the way he throws his wicket away I can only have one of those in my team and Maxy has already been picked. Dunk has the ceiling as well, can go big.

POD Pick – Joe Burns

Big chance to get 2 overs with the ball if selection falls his way tonight. Is in form with the bat, big ‘forget last start’ and focus on those scores from two and three games ago (74pt average first two games). If Haezlett is named he is a chance to push Burns to #5 though. Taking Burns is saying the Stars openers of Beer and Faulkner will make early inroads into the Heat batting. A Peirson/Burns stack gives good top order coverage at a good price.

Avoid – Mark Steketee

1 wicket in 10.4 overs tells you everything you need to know about Steketee. Has as many wickets this season as he has deplorable dropped catches to his name. Overpriced despite a huge price drop. Couldn’t pay me to take him.

Extra Cover

Just a DFS tragic who loves his cricket and footy

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