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The Value Hunter: Round 5 - Eagles vs Power

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Eagles vs Power

The second Good Friday game takes us to Optus Stadium where the Eagles host the Power. After blitzing Melbourne in the Round One, Port Adelaide have looked less than convincing. They were lucky to win against Carlton and have since lost to Brisbane and a Richmond’s reserves. Port Adelaide’s kids started the season with a bang but started to look tired last week. West Coast, on the other hand are fit and flying. The Eagles have a 13-3 record at Optus Stadium which comes with a handsome percentage of 133.64%. I think it’s safe to assume that tonight’s game is going to be far from a Good Friday for the Power.

Rucks

We have four part-time ruckmen on offer tonight. While the idea of a Scott Lycett revenge game is appealing, I don’t really want to spend much money on a job-sharing ruckman. For that reason, as much as pains me to say, I’m cutting my losses and going with Nathan Vardy. I know that my pod brother, @hedgehopkins is going to have a field day with this selection, but I’m accepting the salary benefit and backing my ability to use that extra money effectively.

My takes: Ok, this hurts and I feel dirty but….. Vardy.

Defenders

We saw it happen last week and I’ve got every reason to believe we’re going to see it again. And if you don’t know what ‘it’ is, then you obviously didn’t want watch last week’s Derby. West Coast’s defenders had an absolute field day against Fremantle as they shared the ball in a +6 bonanza. Brad Sheppard and Shannon Hurn were the chief beneficiaries but midfielders Andrew Gaff and Jack Redden joined the spoils as well. It’s an obvious construction strategy but the most likely game script sees West Coast winning for a heap, opening junk time bonuses for West Coast defenders. Lewis Jetta’s return muddies the water in terms of predict fantasy output to some degree.

Port Adelaide trio Darcy Byrne-Jones, Dan Houston and Ryan Burton are possessing the ball a ton and all in play. I’d put Burton at the top of list here as he’s averaging the most kicks per game of these three (17).

If you’re looking to pay down then Oscar Allen is probably your best option. Allen is very raw but his talent is clear to see. The Eagles trying to give the kid a balanced football education by playing him forward and back at times throughout the game. Allen could hit a value game but don’t expect much more just yet.

My takes: Allen (salary saver only), Burton, Houston, Sheppard.

Forwards

Bottom priced forward Jack Petruccelle started well but faded into oblivion last week. Petruccelle kicked two goals in the opening quarter but then only managed to pick up other three touches for the rest of the game. This is always a risk when rostering young players, especially those who spend most of their time in the forward line.

The stats will show that Jack Darling kicked three goals last week but never really imposed himself on the game. Josh Kennedy however, looked hungry last week and will hopefully carry this swagger into tonight’s game as well. I’m one of Jamie Cripps’ biggest fans and the fact that pushes further up the ground than Darling and JJK means that he can accumulate fantasy points in other ways than simply kicking goals.

Brad Ebert has been in excellent form although he’s as expense as he’s been this year, he’s still in play.

My takes: Petruccelle (salary saver only), JJK, Cripps.

Midfielders

Port young midfield brigade has been impressive but they’re young and their output will be inconsistent. I was going to completely fade today but Steven Motlop’s omission opens up some opportunity. William Drew is probably my favourite of this young crop. Older than the rest of Port’s young mid, Drew has been on Port’s list for a few years and has played a fair amount of senior footy. With Oli Wines and Sam Powell-Pepper back in the team, Drew has been pushed to a wing. Motlop’s omission should bring Drew back into the game considerably.

Jack Redden is still cheap considering his mammoth ceiling and I expect him to be popular because of this. Elliot Yeo had his best game of the year last week and gets another soft matchup today.

My takes: I’m stacking the midfield today but may take Drew and/or Butters.

Final thoughts…

There isn’t much reliable value today so it will interesting to see where coaches make sacrifices.