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The Value Hunter: Round 23 – Sunday Special

Posted Sun 26 August by roody

Sunday Special

And here we are, the last three-game Sunday slate of the season. The match of the day is clearly the clash between Melbourne and GWS at the G. A Melbourne win will mean they’ll host Geelong at the MCG. A GWS win means that we’ll get a replay of this game at Spotless in two weeks time. Like many Melbourne fans, I’m up and about. I think we’ll win and win well today, so I’m keen to take my full quota of Demons. Up north, I really think Brisbane will be out for blood today and would love to deny West Coast of an all-important home final. Finally, North Melbourne be keen to finish off their excellent, albeit ultimately disappointing year well against the Saints under the dome.

Rucks

Sam Weideman presented well last week and after dropping a few marks that he should have taken, his price stays quite low. At $6,780 I think the Weideman can have a value game, especially as the Giants aren’t always the best at holding key forwards.

You could play Ben Brown using some Coleman Medal narrative. The Saints haven’t been great against key forwards and North may look to their big man to ensure that he wins this year’s medal. Teammate Majak Daw won’t have a direct matchup again and when he’s free to play the third man up he’s a very attractive fantasy option.

Finally, Max Gawn will destroy Rory Lobb today so if you can save some cash somewhere else, Maxy is very much in play.

My takes: Weideman, Daw.

Defenders

It’s slim pickings if you’re after a cut-price defender today. Considering St Kilda’s lack of key forwards, Scott Thompson and Robbie Tarrant could be in for an easy day at the office. If these two do have big days then you can count on Jamie MacMillan doing well too. MacMillan is one North’s more trusted defensive outlets and he’ll be able to rack up +6s and handball receives all day.

The other defensive unit who could completely control the game is Brisbane. West Coast’s forward line will be further weakened if Jack Darling doesn’t pull up from his concussion and the Lions should be able to take advantage of this. Harris Andrews and Luke Hodge are my preferred targets here.

My takes: The best of a bad bunch – MacMillian, Hodge, Andrews.

Forwards

Again, there isn’t much on offer below $10K here. So poor are the cheap forward options that I think I’ll play a value ruck and then use Sam Weideman in my forward line.

It can be hard to pick a big Mason Wood day but he is in a great spot and his last three games at Etihad have been solid (average 89). The only problem with this move is that I’m never comfortable having multiple North Melbourne players in my teams!

Jack Lonie is priced well for his recent form and with rumours that he’s to be shopped around during trade week, he might like to put in one last good performance. We’ve already seen several final round narrative scores this weekend and Lonie could be another one.

Jed Anderson has arguably had a career-best season. Despite his excellent form, he is yet to breakthrough for a fantasy 100 in 2018. Anderson won’t be highly owned and I’d love to see him finish with a big score.

I feel like I say this every week but if Jamie Cripps played for a Melbourne team, we’d be talking about him a lot more. Cripps has seriously stepped up in the absence of JJK and his forward line link work is crucial to West Coast’s success. Cripps has the speed and endurance to trouble the Lions and I don’t see a clear matchup for him.

This is the last chance we’ll get to play one of the great fantasy players of all time – Jarrad Waite. Each time he plays, Waite is just as likely to get 100+ as he is to get injured in the first quarter and cost you a cash. Waite has the ability to score as quickly as any player in the fantasy world. Surely we get one more mammoth score of the great man?

Midfielders

And guess what!? We’ve got very little on offer again under $10K! Aiden Bonnar has been fun to watch and the kid will become a very good footballer. His price of $7,840 is about right but he’ll need to have a very good day to reach value. Similarly, Mitch Hannan will rely on kicking at least 3-4 goals to reach his value of $9K.

Jake Melksham has a huge role to play a Hoganless forward line. Playing as an undersized centre-half-forward, Melksham has the ability to set goals up and score them himself.

I made the mistake of letting past poor performances influence my decision to play Dom Sheed last week, a mistake I will not be making again. True, he was in a much better spot at home last week than he is today, but at $10K, he’s not going to hurt you too badly if he only gets a 70+.

Dom Tyson has reeled off three 90s in a row and the Giants aren’t exactly the closest marking midfielders going around. But I tell you who is – James Harmes. For the last month or so, Harmes has played some impressive run-with roles. Harmes isn’t a traditional niggling tagger, but instead, he relies on his endurance and two-running to make his opponent play closer attention to him.

Trent Dumont has been impressive recently and he’s yet another North player who’ll benefit from the matchup and venue. In the same game, Jack Steven’s inconsistent year and caused his price to drop to $12K. It’s become a bit of challenge to pick a Steven day but Jack will find the going a little easier without a tagger around to bother him.

Did someone say trade week narrative? Dylan Shiel is well price at $12,760 and a big performance down in Melbourne will please his manager greatly.

My takes: Bonar, Melksham, Sheed, Dumont.

Final thoughts…

We finish the home and away season with one of the toughest multi-game slates in a while. A slack of viable cheap options makes it difficult to load up on multiple $14K+ and turns this slate into a fascinating DFS contest.

roody

Blessed with blinding mediocrity across all sports, Roody quickly discovered the only joy he'd find on the sporting field was through fantasy football. An AFL specialist with 27 years of experience in Dreamteam, Supercoach, Ultimate Footy, Footyrocks and DFS, Roody loves finding value in crowded slates.

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