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The Value Hunter: Round 16 - Sunday Special

Posted {{post.formattedDate}} by Roody

Sunday Special

I’m not sure if I can write this article because I’m just too scared to consider the very real possibility that Carlton will beat my besieged Demons today. The Blues will be up and about after their incredible last gasp win against the Dockers and Melbourne? Well, who the hell knows? A week after starting to show some real promise, the Dees put in yet another insipid performance last week. This game could easily return incredible amounts of fantasy points and even though the Giants are on this slate, I’ll be throwing some Melbourne stacks in for good measure. The Kangaroos host the Saints at Blundstone for the slate’s middle slot game. Everything’s coming up Milhouse for interim coach Rhyce Shaw and the Roos should be able to edge closer to an unlikely finals spot with a win today. Finally, the Lions face another huge test as they travel to Spotless to take on the Giants. The Giants’ high ceiling mids are all finally as expensive as they should be. This makes Giants difficult to squeeze in and makes this slate infinitely better because of it.

Rucks

It’s an easy choice today. We’ll know about Max Gawn’s fitness before bounce and if he’s ruled out (which I think he will be), then click Brayden Preuss and be on your way. If Gawn does play, then I’m either going to trust the beard or play Rowan Marshall. None of the other options appeal to me at all. If Preuss does play, then his ownership will be sky-high. There’s another value to justify Marshall and he should be far too mobile for an aging Goldstein.

Defenders

Nick Coffield was moving really well last week and it’s staggering to think how he’s been kept on the sidelines for so long this year. At just under $8K, Coffield is well priced today, although today’s game won’t be as open and free-flowing as last week’s encounter with Richmond. I don’t see a direct matchup for Michael Hibberd today which means he could have one of his classic free-wheeling fantasy days. The same goes for Bailey Fritsch.

Alex Witherden owes me big time missing last week with man flu, but it’s Zac Williams who I really like in this game. The Giants are feeding him the ball at the moment and he’ll kick you 60+ points just from kicks. Christian Salem is also in an excellent spot today.

Forwards

Ben Long was impressive last week, but similar to what I said about Coffield, it will be a completely different game style this week. Mitch Hannan finally remembered that he was good at football and returned a value game. Hannan is well-priced again today and he’ll go completely unnoticed, even in Melbourne stacks. Lincoln McCarthy has also been hovering around value for the last few weeks and his forward pressure will be important if Brisbane are going to be any chance. I’m trying to take off my red and blue tinted glasses but I just love Jay Lockhart too much. A forward line of Hannan and Lockhart will have a combined ownership of 15% but could easily net 160-180 points for a very small investment.

Here’s a question I never thought I’d ask: does Jack Silvagni play a tagging role on Clayton Oliver today? So effective was SOSOS’s second half job on Nat Fyfe that this is actually a genuine decision to consider. Tom McDonald is working his way back into some excellent form and is in a great spot today. Mason Wood didn’t kick straight last week but if he did, we’d be talking about his fourth score of 90 in his past five games. Jy Simpkin had 30 disposals last week but still only scored 78. That’s a real concern for his fantasy prospects but his worth consideration at least.

Mid-pricers Christian Petracca, Toby Greene and Ed Curnow are all in play. Curnow is a really interesting proposition, especially if he’s released from tagging duty. I’m more than willing to take a chance that he doesn’t tag because he is set free to chase his own footy, then he’ll go off against the Dees midfield.

Midfielders

Mid-season recruit Kyle Dunkley debuts today at $5,000. I expect that Dunkley will play largely across half-forward but Goodwin might also be thrown into the middle at times to see if he sinks or swims. Lachie O’Brien’s run and carry was impressive last week, as was the all round skill of Hunter Clark. Paul Ahern returns today and is always popular despite his inconsistent history of fantasy scores.

The $10-12K group is big today with my favourite plays being Luke Dunstan (with no Hannebery around), Jack Steele (same reason) and Jed Anderson (who always goes under-owned compared to Ziebell). With the attention going to Neale and Zorko, Jarryd Lyons is going unnoticed. A big tackle floor gives Lyons a huge ceiling and he’ll be in my considerations today.

Sam Walsh and Marc Murphy were huge last week and they get a great matchup against Melbourne today. And then finally, we have the top price GWS stud to try and jam in!