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The Value Hunter: Round 13 - Cats vs Tigers

Posted {{post.formattedDate}} by Roody

Cats vs Tigers

Poor old Geelong. Being forced to play home games at the MCG is one thing but being forced to play home games at the MCG against Richmond is something else altogether. If this game was at Kardinia Park, Geelong would almost be favourites. But instead, they must find a way to beat the Tigers at their favourite ground. The Cats have been miserly in defense this year so this will be a fascinating game to watch. DFS wise, it’s pretty tough - there isn’t too much value and there several expensive guns to consider.

Rucks

A tough decision to make straight off the bat today. Toby Nankervis is the ruck with the highest upside on this slate. He should easily account for Rhys Stanley and could easily bring in a 100+ score. But on a slate that offers little value, spending so much cash on a ruck who could score well is a bit of a risk. Playing Stanley will save you a few grand but it will also cut your potential ruck score by a considerable margin. That said, Stanley has only had one sub-70 score this year.

You could run with Mark Blicavs but he has a limited upside now that he’s made the move to defense. The last option is Wylie Buzza whose last two scores have been 28 and 38. Buzza have been a popular salary saving selection of the past two weeks and despite his poor output, don’t be surprised if many people give the kid another run.

My takes: Stanley.

Defenders

As usual, there are a few low floor low ceiling defenders to consider. Jed Bews did the job for me last week, so I’m tempted to give him another run. Baby faced Zach Guthrie comes back into the team is also one of those back-pocket types who could conceivably find their way to a value game.

Jayden Short is in the form of his life but as people look to play more established scorer, Short could be a little under-owned. Reece Conca is a similar vein of form and in fact, a Short/Conca stack could be a bit of a pod play.

My takes: Bews, Short.

Forwards

If the cheap defenders were uninspiring, then the cheap forwards aren’t much better. Suddenly, you start to see why I think Buzza could actually be more highly owned than he should be! Options like Cory Gregson could pay dividends but his ceiling is limited.

Richmond’s mosquito fleet is back together for the first time in a while and this makes me want to fade them all (Butler, Rioli and Castagna). However, Jack Riewoldt rarely has a dud game and rarely has high ownership.

Tom Hawkins may not be kicking backs of goals each week but he is having statistically his best ever season. Hawkins’ two 100+ scores have come at Kardinia Park, but I think he’s quality p.o.d play today.

Josh Caddy gets a revenge game narrative and Dustin Martin is still quite cheap considering his upside.

My takes: Riewoldt, Hawkins (gotta love that key forward stack!)

Midfielders

Jack Graham rejoins the Richmond midfield and should be very handy around the stoppages today. Graham only has one score above 100 this year but if you’ve spent your salary in other places today, then he could be a good source of value.

I’m excited to see what Brandan Parfitt can do on the wings of the MCG. The Richmond pressure might not let him fully get off the chain, but if he can break free then look out.

For here, it’s a matter of how many Geelong midfield studs you can fit in! It’s taken a while but the Geelong midfield is starting to gel and fantasy scores are starting to stabilise. Duncan, Ablett and Dangerfield are my preferred targets here, though you’ll be doing well to find them all in without completely jeopardising the success of your team!

My takes: Graham, Parfitt (value), as many Geelong studs as you can fit.