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Roody’s Final(s) Straw: Elimination Final Two – Swans vs Giants

Posted Sat 08 September by roody

Swans vs Giants

The second qualifying final is the third episode for the Battle of the Bridge this season. The Swans are 2-0 against the Giants this year and I think they’ll be able to make it 3-0 this afternoon. The Giants haven’t been able to take a trick with injuries this year and I don’t believe we’ve seen their best 22 on the field together at all this year. At this stage of the year, this kind of thing counts and although the Swans have been a long way from their best, they should be able to grind out a win today. Buddy Franklin looms large having hit form recently and also having already recorded two 100s against the Giants this year.

From a DFS perspective, this game could be anything. Neither team has been a huge source of fantasy points this year, with the Swans being particularly miserly against nearly every position bar the ruck. Interestingly, both of the previous 2018 episodes of the Battle of the Bridge (do I really have to keep using that name!?) were quite high scoring fantasy encounters. 6 100s (3 from each team) were scored in the first game and 7 100s (4 Giants, 3 Swans) in the second. In these games, Callan Ward and Buddy Franklin are the only players to have recorded 2 x 100s.

Ins and outs

Sydney has a handy couple of ins with their two best players, Buddy Franklin and Luke Parker returning from a well-timed two-week rest. The Giants get a significant boost from their inclusions with Deledio, Green, de Boer and Zac Williams joining the team. Williams makes his season debut and will be a handy addition to the Giants’ backline. Deledio, Green and de Boer will all rotate through half-forward and it’s difficult to predict what impact they’ll have on each other’s scoring ability.

Rucks

We only have two ruck choices tonight – Rory Lobb and Callum Sinclair. Now Sinclair has leaked points to opposition rucks in the second half of the year, although he has managed some decent scores himself. Lobb isn’t exactly a bona fide #1 ruck, so this choice is far from clear-cut. I’m taking Lobb tonight as he is the lower risk option. A Lobb failure won’t completely sink your team but a sub 90 score from Sinclair and you’ll find it difficult to finish high. A double ruck stack is also very much in play.

My takes: Lobb.

Defenders

It’s free square time with Zac Williams returning from injury at $5K. Williams is back flanker who has averaged 83 over his last two seasons of footy. He’s a lock so let’s just move on.

The other GWS defender who I really like today is Harry Perryman. I really like the way this kid goes about it and in a way, he reminds me a bit of Angus Brayshaw. He’s tough and loves the contest but he also has great skill and speed. I’m backing Perryman get close to value today.

Nick Haynes is in solid form and the shorter SCG suits his chaos kick intercept role perfectly. You also know exactly what you’re going to get from Jarrad McVeigh.

My takes: Williams, Perryman, Haynes.

Forwards

If you’re still looking for more bottom priced options then you could consider Tom McCartin or Dan Robinson. McCartin is a low floor, low ceiling choice who’ll need to be at his best just to reach value. Now I actually think this kid has a big future but he’s not there quite yet. Robinson is such a disappointment. His NEAFL stats are remarkable and he’s clearly too good for that level. Unfortunately, he just hasn’t been able to achieve the same kind of performances at the highest level. I’m also skipping over Kieran Jack and Ben Ronke as I don’t have enough confidence in their production potential.

Toby Greene has endured a frustrating season to date. He’s struggled all year with injury and form and it’s been a while since we’ve seen the kind of dominance that we’ve come to expect from Greene. Often in DFS, you find players whose salary is closer to their form rather than their scoring potential. This perfectly describes Toby Greene. At his best, Toby Greene is not a $9K player. Unfortunately, I’m not convinced he’s at his best.

Brett Deledio could be an interesting pod play. Like the old man’s positional flexibility and in a team that already has Greene, Taranto, Langdon and de Boer, I think there’s a chance that Lids plays off a back flank today.

I think I might just have to take Buddy Franklin tonight. He’s in great form and he has beat up on the Giants twice already this year (yes, I’m aware that Phil Davis’ injury played a huge part in his second big score). Franklin’s salary is a little higher this week but I’ve got no issues spending a bit more for Buddy this arvo.

My takes: Greene, Lobb, Deledio (pod)

Midfielders

The first pure midfielder I like is Nic Newman. It wasn’t that long ago that Newman was playing for his career. After spending much of the season in the NEAFL, Newman has been solid since returning to the senior team. Newman also averages 94 in his last three games at the SCG.

The Swans will need a big game from Josh Kennedy if they’re going to stop the clearance dominance of the Giants. Unlike years past, we can no longer rely on Kennedy to pump out 100 after 100. That said, he still possesses a high ceiling and his role will be crucial today. The same can be said for his good mate, Luke Parker.

My takes: Newman, Kennedy, GWS studs.

Final thoughts…

In the time that I’ve taken to write this article, my opinion on the game has changed. I think that the Giants will win easily and I’m more than comfortable with a GWS stack today.

roody

Blessed with blinding mediocrity across all sports, Roody quickly discovered the only joy he'd find on the sporting field was through fantasy football. An AFL specialist with 27 years of experience in Dreamteam, Supercoach, Ultimate Footy, Footyrocks and DFS, Roody loves finding value in crowded slates.

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