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FANTASY INSIDER – $100K AFL SEASON OPENER

Posted {{post.formattedDate}} by Hedge

The AFL DFS season has arrived and you've got 100,000 reasons to check out the most comprehensive single-contest form guide we've ever produced. Scroll down for a summary on every single player on the Draftstars slate.

Go to the Fantasy Insider AFL Lineup Cruncher.

Podcast also 👇

READ: Roody's 2019 Fantasy AFL Season Preview

Carlton v Richmond

When: 7:20pm (AEDT), Thursday 21st March

Where: Marvel Stadium

Why? $100,000 thanks to Draftstars!!!

Let's go!

RUCKS

Toby Nankervis ($13,980)

2018 Av: 89.00      FI Projection:  88.80*             Expected Ownership: 55-60%

Hedge Says: Very low floor but the 120+ ceiling is there and in a big GPP with two ruck options, I’ll be spending the extra 4k (ish) for a big man with double-digit tackle potential who averaged over 16 disposals last season.

Roody Says: I could never pick a big Nank game last year, so I’m always a little cautious. Ceiling is here but prefer to spend my money elsewhere.


Andrew Phillips ($10,030)

2018 Av: 57.00       FI Projection:  67.80*             Expected Ownership: 40-45%

Hedge Says: Just doesn’t find the footy. Doesn’t tackle. Can’t bat, bowl or field basically.  Not even close for mine but he will have fanciers at that price with so many midfield studs to fit in.

Roody Says: Low ceiling but can rack up the hitouts when he’s on song. Would have loved him under $10K but using Phillips tonight does allow you to spend $3K somewhere else. Welcome aboard!

DEFENDERS

Kade Simpson ($14,680)

2018 Av: 95.00    FI Projection:  92.60*             Expected Ownership: 8-12%

Hedge Says: Peeled off a 129pts R1 in 2018 but this year he won’t be able to play that +1 junk role off half back which will hamper output. Newman may also impact. Price too high for mine. Will get him at great ownership if you have the kahunas.  Kick-in bump?

Roody Says: Elite durability. Elite usage rate. Elite job security. Elite ceiling. Elite salary. Elite fade.


Jayden Short ($12,390)

2018 Av: 75.00    FI Projection: 77.00*               Expected Ownership: 25-30%

Hedge Says: Averaged 20 disposals (15 kicks) and gets a bump in 2019 from the kick-in rule. Has the three-figure ceiling but it’s his pretty safe 65-70pt floor that appeals. Pretty crucial part of how the Tigers move the footy, if you are paying up in defence Short looks the best value.

Roody Says: An average of 75 doesn’t much add up to a salary of $12K.  Kick-in bonus could be there, but too rich for my blood tonight.


Dale Thomas ($12,290)

2018 Av: 86.00       FI Projection:  84.50*             Expected Ownership: 15-20%

Hedge Says: Coming off his best season with Carlton, averaging 22 disposals / game playing off half back / wing. Just never able to pick Daisy when he’s on. 3 games last year went sub 60 and twice cleared 125+. Can win you a GPP on his day but is that day R1 against the Tigers? Not for me.

Roody Says: I was mocked by my co-host last year for taking Daisy and that scarred me for a while. 80+ potential is there and ball will spend the majority of its time in Carlton’s back line. Not a bad option and clear GPP winning upside.


Bachar Houli ($12,160)

2018 Av: 73.00         FI Projection: 84.10*               Expected Ownership: 8-13%

Hedge Says: Dropped 19pts/game last year from 2017 form and coaches must ask, was it all injury-related or is Bachar going the way of Roger Murtaugh and getting too old for this sh*t? His JLT form suggests he is still a viable play with three-figure upside. On my short-list despite a big question mark on durability.

Roody Says: That’s a no from me. Ownership should be sub 15% so that’s attractive and historically, Houli has had 100+ potential. That’s still there, but Houli is no longer the sole driving force of the Richmond backline.


Nic Newman ($11,700)

2018 Av: 76.00       FI Projection:  78.50*             Expected Ownership: 35-40%

Hedge Says: 97 and 26pts in his two JLT’s tell the story for Newman. His best is sublime and he can return that coveted 10x value here in his first game for the Blues, but buyer beware, there is a very low 40-50pt floor there as well.

Roody Says: Former defensive beast. Can’t look too much into 2018 form because his papers were stamped from early on. High ownership a concern but no doubt the 100+ is there. Price point is spot on.


Nick Vlastuin ($11,320)

2018 Av: 73.00       FI Projection: 70.10*               Expected Ownership: 7-12%

Hedge Says: The mighty mighty Vlastuin is a tricky one. Love him but he is the epitome of inconsistent. Could be one of the pods of the game given so many will look to Houli, Newman, Thomas or Short at this price range.

Roody Says: One of my favourite players to roster. If he’s allowed to play his intercept game than go for it. I’m always a little wary of new roles in Round 1 but it’s hard not to see him anchoring himself to centre half back and just marking everything that comes near him. Strongly consider.


Jacob Weitering ($9,340)

2018 Av: 55.00    FI Projection: 58.40*               Expected Ownership: 12-17%

Hedge Says: a 22-disposal, 83pt game against Freo last season was his highest of 2018 with 9 of his 14 games coming in under 60pts. Few predicting a bump this season but JLT form says more of the same. Kudos if he smashes it and you’re on but If I’m paying for a mid-ranger, I was a very solid floor and that is not here.

Roody Says: If you play Weitering and he wins you a GPP then well done. I look forward to the screenshot.


Dylan Grimes ($9,020)

2018 Av: 52.00          FI Projection: 53.10*               Expected Ownership: 5-9%

Hedge Says: Cleared 65pts just five times in 23 games last season (under 35pts 6 times!) so after you talk yourself into the possibility that Grimes could be a good POD play and has 65pts plus in him, consider that a) he is more likely to get sub 35 than clear 65 and b) at 65pts he is still only returning 7x value. Love ya Grimesy but avoiding you like the plague.

Roody Says: Solid player in reality but different story in fantasyland. Big no for me.


Liam Jones ($8,630)

2018 Av: 52.00        FI Projection: 53.20*               Expected Ownership: 5-9%

Hedge Says:I try to avoid any backmen who would rather spoil to the 8th row than mark the footy. Jones in particular is hard to have on consistency as well as his penchant for spoiling. Same basket as Grimes for me but for different reasons, looking elsewhere.

Roody Says: Remember that month when every thought Jones was the fullback of the century. Yeah, me neither.


Kamdyn McIntosh ($8,570)

2018 Av: 54.00          FI Projection: 57.20*               Expected Ownership: 17-22%

Hedge Says: At his price tag McIntosh needs a 58pter for 8x value, a score he eclipsed 12 times from 21 games last season. Floor is as low as they come though, going sub 40 on 7 occasions and sub 30 on 5! Can sneak a couple of goals against the Blues though and is a worthwhile punt at the price for a player who has 20 disposal, 75-80pt upside.

Roody Says: Tempting. A random 80+ McIntosh game can lead you to glory. High risk, moderate reward makes him an ok GPP option.


David Astbury ($8,520)

2018 Av: 58.00        FI Projection: 55.10*              Expected Ownership: 30-35%

Hedge Says: Probably gets Curnow again who will lead him to plenty of contests so opportunity will be there. Not worst but feel others stronger for GPP’s at this price. Does have a low floor but he averaged 14 disposals last season which at that price must be considered.

Roody Says: See Grimes. Respect him as a player but just not fantasy relevant.


Alex Rance ($8,230)

2018 Av: 60.00       FI Projection: 67.10*            Expected Ownership: 13-18%

Hedge Says: if I’m going to take a punt in defence then Rance is one I’d be considering. Solid JLT form (68 and 75pts) and could see a little bump in disposals via the kick-in rule. His ceiling is his price tag though, hasn’t cracked the ton since R12 2017 against the Suns. But if you are seeking salary relief, Rance is viable. Went sub 50 six times in 2018 but nothing under 40pts so even his absolute worst will return you 5x value.

Roody Says: Not for me in fantasy. Even though his price is tempting, his upside is just not there.


David Cuningham ($7,930)

2018 Av: 42.00      FI Projection: 67.40*               Expected Ownership:  15-20%

Hedge Says: Cuningham averaged just 34pts from his last 4 games in 2018 and despite solid JLT form (71pts and 66pts) I just don’t see any need to risk a super low score here, particularly when there are a few other around his range that appeal. JLT form will have fanciers though. Strong fade for me.

Roody Says: Not a terrible bargain option and a good way to pivot from Gibbons and Walsh. His role is a little unclear and that has me wrried. Reasonable JLT form though and it’s conceivable that he returns value. I’ll admit – he’s on my shortlist.


Lachie Plowman ($7,370)

2018 Av: 48.00   FI Projection: 53.10*               Expected Ownership: 7-12%

Hedge Says: Left-field punt option for those needing salary relief. Returned 60+ on 5/13 games last season but 29pts and 53pts from the JLT does not bode well. Reluctant to take shutdown defenders at the best of times, and this is not close to the best time.

Roody Says: Not with Newman coming in and Thomas playing in defense these days.


Nathan Broad ($7,060)

2018 Av: 45.00       FI Projection: 68.80*              Expected Ownership: 30-35%

Hedge Says: Tore the JLT opener up with a 96pt game that will have been noticed by plenty in fantasy land. Finished 2018 with 40, 10, 16, 16 and 39pt efforts which is why his price tag is so low. Will be popular but there is a good chance he is the only defender who gets to 9-10x value in this game.

Roody Says: Does his best work off the ground. Value could be there, but so could the ownership as people try to jam in the high ceiling studs. Considering but could be a better fade than a play.


MIDFIELDERS


Patrick Cripps ($18,270)

2018 Av: 109pts         FI Projection: 111.80*          Expected Ownership: 22-27%

Hedge Says: Produced a 130pt effort against the Tigers in R1 2018 and if he can repeat that herculean effort, he will still only return about 7x value. I’ll be under the field at that price but in a game like this, having a ‘cripps lineup’ is a good idea because he can pump out a 150+ at his best.

Roody Says: Highest ceiling on the slate = Highest salary on the slate. Rumours of Cripps resting forward almost seals the deal for me. Fade him and can get some excellent even lineups. Play him and you can almost bank 120.


Dustin Martin ($15,270)

2018 Av: 92.00     FI Projection: 94.10*   Expected Ownership: 33-38%

Hedge Says: Looked good JLT (78 and 95pts from 65% game time) and his effort R1 against the Blues last year (139pts) still haunts me (I faded). Midfield-only in 2019 which should keep him ownership down a little on last season. I like him, I’ll probably be over the field in the hopes of a 30/3 night from Dusty.

Roody Says: You know what’s crazy? I rarely play Dusty Martin. He always garners high ownership and I never really regret fading him. So stand by for a 150+ game from Dusty.


Marc Murphy ($14,390)

2018 Av: 97.00      FI Projection: 94.40*               Expected Ownership: 19-24%

Hedge Says: Does he take a back seat for the kids to shine or does he show them the way? I want a look before touching Murph in 2019. Always a risk he doesn’t make it through the game as well.

Roody Says: Hmmm. An interrupted 2018 so don’t be put off by last year’s average. Solid 100+ upside and always has a large amount of responsibility. Considering.


Dion Prestia (13,660)

2018 Av: 85.00     FI Projection: 89.50*         Expected Ownership: 28-33%

Hedge Says: A horrible JLT is likely to anchor ownership to under a third and at that mark I’d be happy to be over the field. The meatball can improve on last season where he played just 13 games and I like him to start against the Blues. High floor and has big upside.

Roody Says: Hey Dion, how about showing us that old school 130+ upside? You know, the kind I’ve been chasing for two years and will likely to keep chasing until I see it?


Ed Curnow ($13,490)

2018 Av: 100.00        FI Projection: 92.30*           Expected Ownership: 23-28%

Hedge Says: Want a look at how they use Curnow in 2019 with Walsh, Dow and SPS all likely to get solid midfield minutes and Murph in that mix as well. Did not like his stints forward in the JLT, people will have noticed that which will anchor his ownership. Huge 150+ ceiling and horribly low 60pt floor for a guy who averaged 25 disposals and 7 tackles in 2018. I’ll be under the field but will be watching closely how he is used.

Roody Says: 2018 average of 100 is misleading. Some ridiculous 130+ games mixed in with some rock-bottom shockers. Played forward in the JLT which scared the crap out of me.


Trent Cotchin ($12,450)

2018 Av: 80.00            FI Projection: 88.00            Expected Ownership: 19-24%

Hedge Says: Call me crazy but I love Cotchin here for a 25 disposal, 8 tackle, 100pt game. A 111pt effort in JLT2 from 70% game time tells me he is wanting to start the season with a bang. Tackles and goes in a gets it, can also push forward and snag a goal. Easy M2 or M3 play for mine that won’t break the bank or murder your lineup if he returns an 80pt stinker.

Roody Says: Doesn’t have the upside that I’m looking for but definitely a worthy contrarian midfield play.


Shane Edwards ($10,670)

2018 Av: 66.00          FI Projection: 65.30*          Expected Ownership: 13-18%

Hedge Says: Had a woefully poor JLT, returning 30pts and 46pts from big minutes. Edwards can have a monster 5min period then go missing for 15. Averaged 20 disposals in 2018 and can put a 30 disposal, 6 tackle game together… he just does it once in a blue moon. His ceiling is his price which is never a great value option but he can give 90-100 a nudge on his day. Hard to have with value below him in price.

Roody Says: Impact player with amazing football IQ. Unfortunately, you don’t get fantasy points for 1%ers.


Zac Fisher ($10,010)

2018 Av: 69.00            FI Projection: 72.00*         Expected Ownership: 7-12%

Hedge Says: Solid JLT (96 and 61pts). Went from 45pt to 69pt average 2017-18. No FWD DPP which will ensure he is very low owned, possible single digits given the #1 draft pick just below him. I’m coming around to him. Averaged 20 disposals and 3.5 tackles in 2018. If he improves even a little we’re getting into that 80+ range. 6-6-6 decongestion should help him as well.

Roody Says: Really keen to see what the kid can do this year. See him filling an Isaac Smith/Jared Polec run and carry run. Will get feed by Cripps and Murphy and be trusted to thump the ball 100+ metres. Unsure of upside but worth the risk. Would be super keen if he was a forward like last year.


Sam Walsh ($9,900)

2018 Av: 00.00       FI Projection: 87.10*               Expected Ownership: 80-85%

Hedge Says: Despite coming in at just under 10k (as opposed to 5k for new players), Walsh looks on track to be the highest owned player on the slate by the length of the Flemington straight. And justifiably so. Amazing JLT, amazing job and positional security. The kid averaged 30 disposals and 7 tackles at the U18 champs last season. At that ownership though the case must be made to fade. I’ll be under the field…but not by much!

Roody Says: 80% ownership for the messiah. Kid can play, we all know that. It’s all about ownership for me. Fade a bomb and you’ll look like the smartest man in Aussie DFS.


Jack Graham ($9,570)

2018 Av: 65.00      FI Projection: 63.30*               Expected Ownership: 8-13%

Hedge Says: Second year blues hit big time but any kid that can average seven tackles/game in his rookie season should be part of the conversation third-up. A 42 and an 86 in JLT highlight the inconsistency in his ball winning. Enjoyed a 13 tackle, 13 disposal season opener last year against Carlton for 87pts which is a tick under 10x value. Can you play both Walsh and Graham??

Roody Says: Has the upside but haven’t seen it enough to bank 90+. Good pivot from Walsh at the same price and, realistically, similar upside.


Sam Petrevski-Seton ($9,480)

2018 Av: 70.00       FI Projection: 69.80*          Expected Ownership:  21-26%

Hedge Says: I’m very very bullish about SPS this season, and in this game in particular. 68 and 70pt JLT’s look great at his price tag. R1 2018 returned 76pts against the Tigers. He got the dreaded HFF role last season and still increased his season average, albeit slightly, from 67 to 70pts. Less midfield time and more points. Few do that and he wasn’t really given the credit for it. If he gets a midfield time bump as expected in 2019, that average will go north very quick. Will be double the field hoping for a big season opener.

Roody Says: Hot and cold IRL, low floor and moderate ceiling in DFS. Should improve on 70 average throughout the year.


Paddy Dow ($9,140)

2018 Av: 55.00           FI Projection: 56.20*          Expected Ownership: 4-9%

Hedge Says: I don’t know where he will be used which makes me nervous. Expect the field feels similarly which should make him one of the lowest owned players of the game. With the three guys above him all capable of three-figure returns, I just don’t see how or why you get to Dow. Big watch though.

Roody Says: Role uncertainty has been concerned. Love the DPP this year but his upside is unknown until his role becomes more clear. Elite pivot if Walsh bombs and Pow plays either back and racks up 6+s or forward and jags a few goals.


Will Setterfield ($9,000)

2018 Av:00.00       FI Projection: 75.50                 Expected Ownership: 30-35%

Hedge Says: Plenty will go the Walsh/Setterfield double here. The Kid can tackle and find the footy and at his price tag, he doesn’t have to do too much of it to make value. Returned 95pts and 57pts in his 2 JLT games. The former is obviously fantastic but at his price tag, the latter is not horrible. Just comes down to whether he gets the midfield time.

Roody Says: Has been talked about through the preseason but we really have no idea of his upside. Elite pivot but price is a little too high for me.


Kamdyn McIntosh ($8,570)

2018 Av: 54.00     FI Projection: 57.20*               Expected Ownership: 17-22%

Hedge Says: At his price tag McIntosh needs a 58pter for 8x value, a score he eclipsed 12 times from 21 games last season. Floor is as low as they come though, going sub 40 on 7 occasions and sub 30 on 5! Can sneak a couple of goals against the Blues though and is a worthwhile punt at the price for a player who has 20 disposal, 75-80pt upside.

Roody Says: Tempting. A random 80+ McIntosh game can lead you to glory. High risk, moderate reward makes him an ok GPP option.


Michael Gibbons ($7,500)

2018 Av: 00.00      FI Projection: 82.00*               Expected Ownership: 40-45%

Hedge Says: 60 and 42pts from big minutes in the JLT don’t scream ‘pick me’ but Gibbons’ price tag puts him in the conversation. A good cheapy who is likely to be chalky in a tight contest salary cap wise.

Roody Says: DPP will result in high ownership. I’d play a mature ager over a kid any day. Was the king of Twitter the day he got a late call up. Could easily outscore Walsh at $2,500 less and 20% less ownership.


FORWARDS


Kane Lambert ($13,840)

2018 Av: 81.00          FI Projection: 80.10                 Expected Ownership: 6-11%

Hedge Says: Not sure how people pay up for Lambert here which will see him go in vastly under-owned. 78 and 59pts in JLT (former came in just 60% game time). No Josh Caddy probably bumps him a little, likely to see solid midfield minutes. Managed just 6 scores over 100pts last year and only 2 over 120. A first quarter donut in R1 against the Blues is not helping his case either. Has solid celling but you’re picking him for his ownership here. The goldilocks scenario is a 120+ game at single digits. Kudos if that happens.

Roody Says: Great upside and I’m expecting lower ownership as people look for more reliable sources of points. Caddy’s absence should give him a boost.


Jack Reiwoldt ($13,280)

2018 Av: 84.00      FI Projection: 90.00             Expected Ownership: 16-21%

Hedge Says: I have concerns about how Lynch will impact his usage. 66pts and 62pts in JLT highlight he is just not being used as much. Capable of tearing the Blues apart here with a 5+ haul but again, I want to see the Tigers forward line functioning under the two-talls before I load up on Jack.

Roody Says: Had an underrated year. 80+ floor in a game where I wouldn’t be surprised to see no other forward score more than 90.


Tom J Lynch ($11,670)

2018 Av: 66.00       FI Projection: 77.30            Expected Ownership: 25-30%

Hedge Says: Lynch missed the whole JLT with a knee complain and may not play Round 1, but if he does line up, be sure to google how he has torn Carlton apart in a Suns jersey over the last few years. I think he will be popular despite every reason not to pick him, he just seems to attract ownership and the 7 goals against the Blues last year don’t hurt confidence. I'll be well under, want to watch and see how he looks and how they play him.

Roody Says: Great fade option for me. Fitness a concern as is his role.



Charlie Curnow ($11,220)

2018 Av:73.00         FI Projection: 74.00          Expected Ownership: 15-20%

Hedge Says: 35 and 61pts (the latter from 91mins) in JLT does not give great confidence but one look at his 19 disposal, 5 goal game in Round 1 last year against the Tigers (119pts) very quickly brings him back into consideration. That was his highest fantasy score of the season and he only cracked the ton twice more. This is his third year though and with no Kruezer, Curnow is going to be on his bike up the ground all game getting those valuable 6pt mark/kicks. I like him. Expect ill be almost double the field hoping for a big game.

Roody Says: Love him and would be a great pivot. Concern is around game script tonight.


Mitch McGovern ($10,430)

2018 Av: 71.00     FI Projection: 67.90                    Expected Ownership: 6-11%

Hedge Says: Will have fanciers at that price but really, he couldn’t score well camped ahead of that Adelaide midfield so I don’t like his chances of a big bump in production for Carlton. 20pts and 38pts in the JLT will have what few fanciers are left feeling very nervous.

Roody Says: Look elsewhere. Never been an amazing fantasy player.


Jack Higgins ($10,350)

2018 Av: 61.00            FI Projection: 66.10            Expected Ownership: 22-27%

Hedge Says: Had a brilliant pre-season campaign. Suspect his JLT midfield time was masking minutes scheduled for Edwards, Graham and Lambert but if he does find himself there more, he will quickly pay off his price tag. Can win it, can tackle, can use it. 87 and 103 in the JLT will mean he is over-owned and I want a look first.

Roody Says: Has 2-3 goal upside but real question is how much midfield time he gets. Not for me.


Mav Weller ($10,230)

2018 Av: 66.00           FI Projection:64.50             Expected Ownership: 5-10%

Hedge Says: Likely to play the Caddy role without the midfield cream, marking ability and/or goal kicking prowess. One player that this jaded, bitter Suns fan has been happy to see take his ball and go home.

Roody Says: I tend to avoid players who join new clubs first up. Role uncertain too.


Daniel Rioli ($10,160)

2018 Av: 66.00        FI Projection: 62.70               Expected Ownership: 11-16%

Hedge Says: Don’t see many reasons to get to Rioli after a 49 and 44pt JLT. If he happens to jump the queue and plays more midfield mins, perhaps getting Caddy’s onball mins, then he has a shot at hitting an  or 9x value game but that small forward role brings too low a floor. Love him as a player but like so many at the Tigers, I want to see how they are being used I 2019 before I commit and I think plenty will be in that boat.

Roody Says: On my list. Can see him taking a real big step forward this year. More midfield time please Damien!


Harry McKay ($9,820)

2018 Av:62.00      FI Projection:55.30            Expected Ownership: 4-9%

Hedge Says: Nope. Likely to get Rance. 45 and 72pt JLT games don’t give me any reason to remain as far as I can possibly be.

Roody Says: Maybe later in the season I’ll play him but not tonight.


Sam Petrevski-Seton ($9,480)

2018 Av: 70.00         FI Projection: 69.80*         Expected Ownership:  21-26%

Hedge Says: I’m very very bullish about SPS this season, and in this game in particular. 68 and 70pt JLT’s look great at his price tag. R1 2018 returned 76pts against the Tigers. He got the dreaded HFF role last season and still increased his season average, albeit slightly, from 67 to 70pts. Less midfield time and more points. Few do that and he wasn’t really given the credit for it. If he gets a midfield time bump as expected in 2019, that average will go north very quick. Will be double the field hoping for a big season opener.

Roody Says: Hot and cold IRL, low floor and moderate ceiling in DFS. Should improve on 70 average throughout the year.


Paddy Dow ($9,140)

2018 Av: 55.00         FI Projection: 56.20*               Expected Ownership: 4-9%

Hedge Says: I don’t know where he will be used which makes me nervous. Expect the field feels similarly which should make him one of the lowest owned players of the game. With the three guys above him all capable of three-figure returns, I just don’t see how or why you get to Dow. Big watch though.

Roody Says: Role uncertainty has been concerned. Love the DPP this year but his upside is unknown until his role becomes more clear. Elite pivot if Walsh bombs and Pow plays either back and racks up 6+s or forward and jags a few goals.


Dan Butler ($8,850)

2018 Av: 56.00       FI Projection: 59.30               Expected Ownership: 8-13%

Hedge Says: His price tag is his celling which again, is not ideal,but Butler could really be a guy who benefits from some of the new rules this season. Has two 98pt games in two seasons (yet to raise the bat) with his next highest being an 88pter R1 last year when he racked up 13 disposals, laid 7 tackles and kicked 3 against the Blues. 38 and 85pts in JLT, that second game will have a few coaches interested. I’m one at this stage. I’ll be probably double the field.

Roody Says: Better money savers around tonight. Upside isn’t there.


Jarrod Garlett ($8,540)

2018 Av: 54.00            FI Projection:50.30                  Expected Ownership: 2-7%

Hedge Says: Yet another former Sun running around (sniffle). Love what he could be but can’t pick hat he is at the moment. Doesn’t find it enough and every time he looks on track for a big game, his 2nd or 3rd aggressive tackle causes him to be off the field for 10mins and it’s a coin flip he returns. Very ballsy POD play. Not for me.

Roody Says: Too inconsistent for me. Next.


Michael Gibbons ($7,500)

2018 Av: 00.00       FI Projection: 82.00*           Expected Ownership: 40-45%

Hedge Says: 60 and 42pts from big minutes in the JLT don’t scream ‘pick me’ but Gibbons’ price tag puts him in the conversation. A good cheapy who is likely to be chalky in a tight contest salary cap wise.

Roody Says: DPP will result in high ownership. I’d play a mature ager over a kid any day. Was the king of Twitter the day he got a late call up. Could easily outscore Walsh at $2,500 less and 20% less ownership.


Alex Fasolo ($7,110)

2018 Av: 12.00    FI Projection:   67.30*             Expected Ownership: 28-33%

Hedge Says: It’s all about how many forward entries Carlton can generate because if the supply is there, Fasolo can return a value game here. Didn’t play JLT but by all reports has recovered from the fractured arm well. I’ll be under the field only because I’m paying down elsewhere but Fasolo provides a great cheap fwd punt (with relative pedigree).

Roody Says: Hmmmmmm. Great price and has career average around the 70s. Could easily snag 10x in his club debut.


Noah Balta ($6,920)

2018 Av: 00.00         FI Projection:59.90*          Expected Ownership: 15-20%

Hedge Says: 98 and 43pts in the JLT,if Balta gets a game for the injured Tom Lynch he will have plenty of fanciers at the price. The 19 year old averaged 13 disposals up forward for the Tigers in the VFL last season, with 2 tackles and less than a goal a game so there is obviously a low floor here. I’m punting elsewhere but that 98pts in JLT1 will have people picking him.

Roody Says: Could be anything and could score anything. Wouldn’t be surprised to see him score 30 and wouldn’t be surprised to see him score 80 in a winning lineup.

* Fantasy Insider projections may change as we get closer to bounce, for the best, most up-to-date data.

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